This paper constructs long-term forecasts of energy prices using a reduced form model of shifting trend developed by Pindyck (1999). A Gibbs sampling algorithm is developed to estimate models with a shifting trend line which are used to construct 10-period-ahead and 15-period ahead forecasts. An...

Genuine saving is an established indicator of weak sustainable development that measures the net level of investment a country makes in produced, natural and human capital less depreciation. Maintaining this net level of investment above zero is a necessary condition for sustainable development....

This paper examines the efficiency implications of regulated demand price of 93 octane petrol relative to OPEC crude oil price across 183 Namibian localities in 1991. It describes briefly pricing problems associated with managing petroleum and petro-products. Assuming that demand price depends...

The paper presents univariate and panel unit root tests for gasoline and oil price convergence over the last decade. We test for the absolute versus relative version of the LOOP and estimate the speed of convergence as well as its development over time. Our results show that the absolute version...

La estructura normativa de un sector como reglas que armonizan o delimitan las acciones de los agentes económicos involucrados o los potenciales involucrados, reviste una importancia incuestionable. Los cambios filosóficos y de estructura tributaria que contemplan la nueva Ley de Hidrocarburos...

Genuine saving measures net investment in produced, natural and human capital. It is a necessary condition for weak sustainable development that genuine saving not be persistently negative. However, according to data provided by the World Bank, resource-rich countries are systematically failing...

In India, the supply of electricity relies heavily on a virtually bankrupt and sometimes corrupt system of state electricity boards (SEBs), which have failed to bring electricity to approximately 40% of rural households. High subsidy levels to agriculture and domestic customers and widespread...

This paper analyses which likely effects international co-operation on climate change, the emissions trading directive of the European Union currently introduced and the tradable emissions permit systems specified under the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (FCCC) will have on energy...

In this paper we address the question of collusion in mechanisms under asymmetric information. We develop a methodology to analyze collusion as an informed principal problem. First, if collusion occurs after the agents accept or reject the principal's offer; the dominant-strategy implementation...

This paper shows the impact that investment in infrastructure may have on the efficiency of agricultural products markets. Using daily price series for the most important agricultural crop in Peru (potato), in 10 cities from 1995 to 2001, we show that there is enough evidence to conclude that...