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earlier series of market experiments that examine how learning occurs in markets characterized by an asymmetry of information … setting and the difficulty of preventing them. This article re-examines bubble experiments in light of the results of an … markets used in bubble experiments are incomplete in that they are lacking a complete set of forward or futures markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125589
unnecessary for the efficient operation of markets. This paper presents a new series of market experiments that show that markets … it. In addition to firmly establishing the role of trader intelligence in asset-market equilibrium, these experiments … also provide insights into why bubbles and crashes are consistently observed in many asset-market laboratory experiments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408215
adaptive learning rules do not take such information into account and optimal adaptive rules do not differ much between the two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005550889
We conduct experiments of a cheap-talk game with incomplete information in which one sender type has an incentive to … misrepresent her type. Although that Sender type mostly lies in the experiments, the Receiver tends to believe the Sender …'s messages. This confirms ``truth bias'' reported in communication theory in a one-shot, anonymous environment without nonverbal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556670
truthtelling, and learning on the expert's ability is slow. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005550867
Manski [2004] analyzes the relationship between the distribution of traders’ beliefs and the equilibrium price in a prediction market with risk neutral traders. He finds that there can be a substantial difference between the mean belief that an event will occur, and the price of an asset that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005135086
predict optimal and suboptimal choices in a financial decision-making task. We characterized two types of deviations from the … of economic decision-making. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556666
This paper demonstrates that the adaptive learning approach to modelling private sector expectations can be used as an … the two rational expectations equilibria is stable under least-squares learning, and that it is always the low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125682
series of laboratory asset market experiments beginning with the work of Smith, Suchanek and Williams (1988). We follow the … in laboratory experiments and can also match other, more subtle features of the experimental data. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076911
Financial markets are to a very large extent influenced by the advent of information. Such disclosures, however, do not only contain information about fundamentals underlying the markets, but they also serve as a focal point for the beliefs of market participants. This dual role of information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005550876