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Italy’s policy of fiscal consolidation and growth-friendly structural reforms has substantially improved its economic prospects, but the adverse sentiment that the country has faced in the sovereign bond market over the past years has deep roots. It reflects lingering anxieties over the euro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276838
In recent years the euro area has shown less resilience to the negative and largely OECD-wide common shocks than the English-speaking countries, but most of the smaller euro area countries have fared better than the large ones. This paper reviews policy issues that are important in fostering a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005045894
simulations to gauge their effect. Market-based adjustment to demand shocks depends critically on whether the effect of a lower … setting behavior, on the supply response and on the strength of trade integration. Simulations suggest that market … mécanismes de marché à partir notamment de simulations évaluant l’importance de leurs effets. En cas de choc de demande, l …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046255
Uncertainty faced by households and firms affects economic activity. The rise in uncertainty since the beginning of the sovereign debt crisis in Greece could be one factor that has contributed to the steep and long-lasting recession. This paper presents a brief empirical analysis quantifying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276951
This paper presents a simulation model of the main budget aggregates of federal, provincial and territorial governments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008548955
Europe is putting in place a new system of fiscal rules following the euro area sovereign debt crisis and decades of rising government to debt-to-GDP ratios. These include the so-called “six pack” to upgrade the Stability and Growth Pact to a new Treaty incorporating the “fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011007418
Substantial fiscal consolidation was achieved under the aegis of the 2003 Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management Act. While deficits widened anew in 2008 and 2009, against the backdrop of the global financial and economic crisis, efforts to reduce them have resumed since. To ensure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009364448
The global economic and financial crisis exacerbated the need for fiscal consolidation in many OECD countries. Drawing lessons from past episodes of fiscal consolidation, this paper investigates the economic environments, political settings and policy measures conducive to fiscal consolidation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009393768
With gross government debt surpassing 200% of GDP, Japan’s fiscal situation is in uncharted territory. In addition to robust nominal GDP growth, correcting two decades of budget deficits requires a large and sustained fiscal consolidation based on a detailed and credible multi-year plan that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276790
the medium to longer term. This paper uses stylised simulations in a small, calibrated macroeconomic model which features … endogenous interactions between fiscal policy, growth and financial markets. Simulations are done for a hypothetical economy … output gaps. The simulations highlight four issues. First, lowering the debt-to-GDP ratio within a finite horizon requires …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276909