Showing 1 - 10 of 73
, consumption, investment and unemployment)has a distinct dynamic from disagreement about nominal variables(inflation and interest … series. Countryby-country regressions for inflation and interest... …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866467
Forecasting the world economy is a di¢ cult task given the complex interre-lationships within and across countries. This paper proposes a number ofapproaches to forecast short-term changes in selected world economic vari-ables and aims, …rst, at ranking various forecasting methods in terms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866572
a special focus on persistence of real wages,wage and price inflation. The analysis is conducted within a structural …, as well as the cointegrating properties of theestimated system. Overall, in the long run, wage and price inflation emerge …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866514
This paper reviews recent approaches to modeling the labour market and assessestheir implications for in‡ation dynamics through both their e¤ect on marginalcost and on price-setting behaviour. In a search and matching environment, weconsider the following modeling setups: right-to-manage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866597
This paper examines the impact of downward wage rigidity (nominal and real) onoptimal steady-state inflation. For this … andFinland). The calibrated heterogeneous agent models are then solved for differentsteady state rates of inflation to derive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866626
This paper contributes to the literature on the properties of money and creditindicators for detecting asset price misalignments. After a review of the evidence inthe literature on this issue, the paper discusses the approaches that can be consideredto detect asset price busts. Considering a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866513
This paper explores the role that inflation forecasts play in the uncertainty surrounding the estimated effects of … alternative monetary rules on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We use the inflation forecasts of 8 competing … relative to the different inflation models under two rules. The results suggest that model uncertainty can be a serious issue …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005816249
which induce smooth inflation also dampen the adjustment of wages in response to shocks. In the search and matching … Phillips curve is that inflation is not only driven by an output gap but also by an employment gap – a feature usually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344864
All else equal, higher wages translate into higher inflation. More rigid wages imply a weaker response of inflation to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222367
Is inflation persistence in the new EU Member States (NMS) comparable to that in the euro area countries? We argue that … show that due to frequent breaks in inflation time series in the NMS, parametric statistical measures assuming a constant …-varying mean leads to the reversal of this result and suggests similar or lower inflation persistence for the NMS compared to euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005816292