Beginning in 1998, U.S. commercial banks with significant trading activities must hold capital against their defined market risk exposure. Under the current regulatory guidelines, this capital charge is a function of banks' own value-at-risk (VaR) estimates. Two hypothesis-testing methods for...

This paper examines the performance of implied correlations in forecasting subsequently realized correlations between exchange rates. Implied correlations are derived from sets of implied volatilities on the three exchange rates in a currency trio. We compare the forecasting performance of the...