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Neglected Heterogeneity and Dynamics in Cross-Country Savings Regressions
International Monetary Fund - 1999
This paper examines the extent to which conclusions of cross-country studies of private savings are robust to allowing for the possible heterogeneity of savings behavior across countries and the inclusion of dynamics. It shows that neglecting heterogeneity and dynamics can lead to misleading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400163
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Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2009
This is the fourth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which economists have access for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004999967
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Thailand; Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2008
initially so that the baseline forecast replicates staff baseline projections over the medium term. We analyze two main risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242710
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Estimating Potential Output with a Multivariate Filter
International Monetary Fund - 2010
This paper develops a simple model for measuring potential output that uses data on inflation, unemployment, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403161
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Advancing the frontiers of monetary policy
Adrian, Tobias (ed.); Laxton, Douglas (ed.);  … - 2018
Inflation-forecast targeting is state of the art for monetary policy. This book explores first principles, including …Part I. The frontiers of monetary policymaking. 1. An overview of inflation-forecast targeting -- Part II. Principles … and practices of inflation-forecast targeting. 2. First principles -- 3. Managing expectations -- 4. Nuts and bolts of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011874333
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Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market
International Monetary Fund - 1990
This paper seeks to advance the discussion of monetary policy strategies in several ways. One involves a comparison of targets for nominal GNP and the price level, with emphasis on specificational robustness and implications for output variability. A second pertains to various “indicator”...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396173
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Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market
International Monetary Fund - 1990
This paper examines the dynamics of the foreign exchange market. The first half addresses a number of key questions regarding the forecasts of future exchange rates made by market participants, by means of updated estimates using survey data. Here we follow most of the theoretical and empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396182
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Trade Costs and Real Exchange Rate Volatility : The Role of Ricardian Comparative Advantage
International Monetary Fund - 2005
This paper examines the impact of trade costs on real exchange rate volatility. We incorporate a multi … exchange rate volatility depends on relative technological differences and trade costs. These differences highlight a new … volatility. We then test the importance of this channel using a large panel of cross-country data over 1970-97, and find strong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399797
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Exchange Rate Volatility and World Trade
International Monetary Fund - 1984
In View of the continuation of substantial movements in exchange rate relationships among major currencies, the recent increase in protectionist pressures, and the disappointing performance of world trade, renewed concern has been expressed about the possible adverse effects of exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014406218
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Remoteness and Real Exchange Rate Volatility
International Monetary Fund - 2005
This paper examines the impact of trade costs on real exchange rate volatility. The channel is examined by constructing … higher trade costs result in a larger nontradable sector. This, in turn, leads to higher real exchange rate volatility. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404193