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A Systems Approach to Estimating the Natural Rate of Unemployment and Potential Output for the United States
International Monetary Fund - 1989
The methodology used in this paper has three distinguishing features: the natural rate of unemployment and potential output are jointly estimated; estimation integrates wage and price data with “real” and structural data; and third, the methodology encompasses many of the methods found in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396053
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Trends and Cycles in the U.S. Economy
International Monetary Fund - 1990
The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395945
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Eastern Caribbean Currency Union; Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2005
This Selected Issues paper analyzes macroeconomic fluctuations in the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (ECCU). The paper describes data, along with the estimation technique used to ensure stationarity of the data. The empirical regularities of macroeconomic fluctuations in the ECCU are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825356
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Investment; Specific Technology Shocks and International Business Cycles: An Empirical Assessment
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2010
In this paper, we first introduce investment-specific technology (IST) shocks to an otherwise standard international real business cycle model and show that a thoughtful calibration of them along the lines of Raffo (2009) successfully addresses the "quantity", "international comovement",...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008671290
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Republic of Estonia; Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2006
This paper assesses Estonia’s flexibility from two angles. The paper focuses on one aspect of that performance—the ability to sustain competitiveness. Then, a more forward-looking angle is the flexibility of Estonia’s labor and product markets. Estonia has made great...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244007
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Fat Tails and their (Un)Happy Endings : Correlation Bias and its Implications for Systemic Risk and Prudential Regulation
International Monetary Fund - 2011
The correlation bias refers to the fact that claim subordination in the capital structure of the firm influences claim … holders’ preferred degree of asset correlation in portfolios held by the firm. Using the copula capital structure model, it is … shown that the correlation bias shifts shareholder preferences towards highly correlated assets, making financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401318
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A Noteon Saving-Investment Correlations in the EMS
International Monetary Fund - 1990
This paper extends recent work by Feldstein and Horioka (1980) and Bayoumi (1990), and examines saving-investment correlations for industrial countries in the post-war period. The focus of the enquiry is on differences observed between EMS and non-EMS countries. It is seen that the EMS countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396141
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Thailand; Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2008
To estimate the New Keynesian model, we use four key macroeconomic series for Thailand. The priors are chosen to reflect general considerations of the appropriate model dynamics and our judgment about the Thai economy. The model is solved initially so that the baseline forecast replicates staff...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242710
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Jamaica; Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2008
Economic outcomes in Jamaica have fallen short of the authorities’ objectives in recent years. As the government looks to reinvigorate its growth and debt reduction strategy, it is instructive to examine how exogenous shocks and other unanticipated developments can affect economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245592
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New Zealand; Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2003
This Selected Issues paper examines the external linkages of the New Zealand economy. Empirical results from vector autoregressive models suggest that economic activity in Australia tends to have more of a significant direct impact on New Zealand than does activity in the United States....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825325