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We introduce dynamic incentive contracts into a model of unemployment dynamics and present three results. First, wage … cyclicality from incentives does not dampen unemployment dynamics: the response of unemployment to shocks is first … cyclicality from bargaining dampens unemployment dynamics through the standard mechanism. Third, our calibrated model suggests 46 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372479
, that frictions (sand-in-the-wheels) may decrease unemployment and that the equilibrium is determined by two simple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635663
employment is the efficient unemployment rate, u*. We define u* as the unemployment rate that minimizes the nonproductive use of …). Accordingly, the efficient unemployment rate is the geometric average of the unemployment and vacancy rates: u* = √uv. We compute …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334429
We propose that the natural rate of unemployment has an active role in the business cycle, in contrast to the … Phillips-curve framework of low---often extremely low---response of inflation to unemployment could be the result of fairly … most Phillips-curve studies, that conclude that inflation has little relation to unemployment. We suggest that the flat …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436979
We study the causal effects and policy implications of global supply chain disruptions. We construct a new index of supply chain disruptions from the mandatory automatic identification system data of container ships, developing a novel spatial clustering algorithm that determines real-time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486190
Monetary policy is conventionally understood to influence labor demand, with little effect on labor supply. We estimate the response of labor market flows to high-frequency changes in interest rates around FOMC announcements and Fed Chair speeches and find that, in contrast to the consensus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421195
We introduce FDIF, a measure of Fed communication surprise based on the text of FOMC statements. FDIF measures the difference between text-implied and actual values of key market variables. Positive FDIF of countercyclical variables (e.g., credit spreads) is associated with negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334428
Wage insurance provides income support to displaced workers who find reemployment at a lower wage. We analyze wage insurance in the context of the U.S. Trade Adjustment Assistance (TAA) program by merging linked employer-employee Census data to TAA petitions and leveraging a discontinuity in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544742
Licensed workers could be shielded from unemployment during recession since occupational licensing laws are asymmetric …-in-differences event study research design that exploits cross-state variation in licensing laws to compare the unemployment rate between …, we find that licensing shields workers from a recession-induced increase in the unemployment rate of 0.82 p.p. during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544764
How has the internet affected search and hiring, and what are the implications for aggregate unemployment? Answering … indicate that the steady-state unemployment rate fell by as much as 14% due to the broadband internet expansion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226108