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We develop a dynamic microsimulation model to project the labor force and economic dependency ratios in the United States from 2022 to 2060, taking population projections and the large inequalities between population groups of different race/ethnicity and gender into account. We contrast policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576619
How has the internet affected search and hiring, and what are the implications for aggregate unemployment? Answering … indicate that the steady-state unemployment rate fell by as much as 14% due to the broadband internet expansion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226108
Licensed workers could be shielded from unemployment during recession since occupational licensing laws are asymmetric …-in-differences event study research design that exploits cross-state variation in licensing laws to compare the unemployment rate between …, we find that licensing shields workers from a recession-induced increase in the unemployment rate of 0.82 p.p. during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544764
employment is the efficient unemployment rate, u*. We define u* as the unemployment rate that minimizes the nonproductive use of …). Accordingly, the efficient unemployment rate is the geometric average of the unemployment and vacancy rates: u* = √uv. We compute …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334429
This paper shows empirically that the non-employment effects of unemployment insurance (UI) for older workers depend in … difficult-to-explain trends in the unemployment rate of older German workers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421233
We introduce dynamic incentive contracts into a model of unemployment dynamics and present three results. First, wage … cyclicality from incentives does not dampen unemployment dynamics: the response of unemployment to shocks is first … cyclicality from bargaining dampens unemployment dynamics through the standard mechanism. Third, our calibrated model suggests 46 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372479
This study documents how job seekers update perceived job-finding prospects by unemployment duration and by learning … about aggregate unemployment. We find that job seekers perceive an 18% decline in their job-finding probability for each … additional month of unemployment, but perceive a higher job-finding probability when the aggregate unemployment rate is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447261
, that frictions (sand-in-the-wheels) may decrease unemployment and that the equilibrium is determined by two simple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635663
We systematically review studies of how unemployment benefits affect unemployment duration. Statistically significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056158
Most economists maintain that the labor market in the United States is 'tight' because unemployment rates are low. They … infer from this that there is potential for wage-push inflation. However, real wages are falling rapidly at present and …, prior to that, real wages had been stagnant for some time. We show that unemployment is not key to understanding wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361977