In this study, we analyze whether volatility forecasts (judgmental confidence intervals) are influenced by the specific elicitation mode (i.e. whether forecasters have to state future price levels or directly future returns as upper and lower bounds). We present questionnaire responses of about...

Ratingverfahren dienen zur Abschätzung der zukünftigen Zahlungsfähigkeit von (potentiellen) Kreditnehmern. Die Verfahren legen Daten des Rechnungswesens sowie Einschätzungen von Kreditsachbearbeitern zugrunde. Die Qualität der bankinternen Ratingverfahren stellt eine wesentliche...

Investors and academics increasingly criticize that features of employee stock option (ESO) programs reflect rent-extraction by managers (managerial power view). We use a unique European data set to investigate the relationship between the design of ESO programs and corporate governance...

If individuals have to evaluate a portfolio (or sequence) of lotteries their judgment is influenced by the portfolio presentation mode. Experimental studies (Redelmeier and Tversky, 1992, Benartzi and Thaler, 1998) found significantly higher acceptance rates for a sequence of lotteries, if the...

Portfolio choice is usually modelled by von Neumann-Morgenstern utility. Risk-value models are more general and permit the derivation of risk-value efficient frontiers. A behaviourally based risk measure with an endogenous or exogenous benchmark is used to derive effcient portfolios and to...

Individuen überschätzen häufig ihre Kenntnisse und Fähigkeiten oder die Qualität ihrer Information. Bei Entscheidungen unter Unsicher-heit kann dies zu einer verzerrten Wahrnehmung der Erfolgswahrscheinlichkeit einer Entscheidung und im Zusammen-hang mit Prognosen zu einer Überschätzung...

An experiment examined the effect that the type and presentation format of information about investment options have on expectations held by investors about asset risk, returns, and volatility. Some respondents were provided with the names of investment options in addition to historical...

In this study, we analyze whether individual expectations of stock returns are influenced by the specific elicitation mode (i.e. whether forecasters have to state future price levels or directly future returns). We thus examine whether there are framing effects in stock market forecasts. We...

In a recent QJE-article, Gneezy and Potters (1997) present experimental evidence for the impact of feedback frequency on individual risk taking behavior in repeated investment decisions. They find an increased willingness to invest into a risky asset if less frequent feedback about the outcome...