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Testing for short and long-run causality : the case of the yield spread and economic growth
Breitung, Jörg; Candelon, Bertrand - 2001
To assess the predictive content of the interest rate term spread for future economic growth, we distinguish short-run from long-run predictability by using two different approaches. First, following Dufour and Renault (1998) a test procedure is proposed to test for causality at different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009617950
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Multiple politico-economic regimes, inequality and growth
Desdoigts, Alain; Moizeau, Fabien - 2001
In this paper, we abandon the stylized median voter and study (i) how distributional tensions can act in many different ways depending on social affinity and on the prospect of upward or downwardmobility of the different income classes, (ii) income distribution dynamics, intergenerational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615432
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Why firms should care for customers
Königstein, Manfred; Müller, Wieland - 2000
Adopting the indirect evolutionary approach, we show that it might be beneficial for firms on a heterogeneous market not only to care for their profits but also for their respective customers' welfare. -- evolutionary stability ; customer orientation ; heterogenous market ; duopoly
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612021
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The determinants of health care expenditure : testing pooling restrictions in small samples
Herwartz, Helmut; Theilen, Bernd - 2000
Healthcare expenditure has increased substantially in all western industrialized countries in the last decades. The necessity to contain the increase in health care expenditure has motivated the Analysis of its determinants to explain differences across countries and health systems. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612045
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The empirical determinants of the Euro : short and long run perspectives
Chinn, Menzie David - 2000
is provided by a productivity-based model of the real value of the euro. Some panel regression estimates of the … relationship between intercountry relative productivity differentials and real exchange rates is presented. Using these estimates … to conduct some calculations, one comes to the conclusion that unless drastic changes to productivity trends occur, there …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583879
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Growth regression and counterfactual income dynamics
Desdoigts, Alain - 2000
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611551
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Quantile hedging
Föllmer, Hans; Leukert, Peter - 1998
In a complete financial market every contingent claim can be hedged perfectly. In an incomplete market it is possible to stay on the safe side by superhedging. But such strategies may require a large amount of initial capital. Here we study the question what an investor can do who is unwilling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574876
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On model based seasonal adjustment procedures
Breitung, Jörg - 1998
In this note the unobserved component approach underlying the software package SEATS is compared with the Beveridge-Nelson type of decomposition for seasonal time series. The main strength of the SEATS approach lies in the appealing model formulation and the careful specification and adjustment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574877
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The monetary model of the exchange rate : a structural interpretation
Moersch, Mathias; Nautz, Dieter - 1998
We emphasize the importance of properly identifying the long-run relations underlying the monetary model of the exchange rate. The separate estimation of long-run money demands leads to a "structural" error correction equation which allows an interpretation of the various channels affecting the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574885
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Sequential versus independent commitment : an indirect evolutionary analysis of bargaining rules
Güth, Werner - 1998 - Rev.
Rational bargaining behavior depends crucially on the rules of bargaining, especially on whether parties decide sequentially or independently. Whereas in ultimatum bargaining the proposer can exploit the responder, independent commitments result in more balanced payoffs. To limit the scope of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574886