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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578563
To assess the predictive content of the interest rate term spread for future economic growth, we distinguish short-run from long-run predictability by using two different approaches. First, following Dufour and Renault (1998) a test procedure is proposed to test for causality at different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009617950
This paper presents a general theory that works out the relation between coherent risk measures, valuation bounds, and … theory presented seems to fill a gap between arbitrage valuation on the one hand and single agent utility maximization or … full-fledged equilibrium theory on the other hand. "Coherent" valuation bounds strike a balance in that the bounds can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581108
Electronic Commerce environments increasingly witness a conflict on the subject of e-privacy: While marketers want to maximize their customer knowledge and grasp the identity of their online users, consumers often want to stay anonymous and not reveal private information. The conflict suggests...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615417
. However, no empirical evidence exists for Germany so far. We investigate the effectiveness of (i) self-ratings of health by … individuals and (ii) changes in self-rated health, as predictors of mortality for Germany. Methods: A sub-sample of 3 … a valid predictor of mortality in Germany, adding previously self-rated health has no effect on explaining the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009626677
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001917087
Daily returns of financial assets are frequently found to exhibit positive autocorrelation at lag 1. When specifying a linear AR(l) conditional mean, one may ask how this predictability affects option prices. We investigate the dependence of option prices on autoregressive dynamics under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580460
exchange the paper compares estimation results of parametric and nonparametric autoregressive models with respect to possible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580468
. Institutional differences between Germany and the U.S. allow to disentangle the three main hypotheses on the announcement effect …. Consistently, abnormal returns around the announcement day are much lower in Germany than in the U.S. Although a significant … tradeto-trade returns increases the significance of abnormal returns but the difference between alternative return measurement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580473
The efficient market hypothesis implies that asset prices cannot be cointegrated. On the other hand, arbitrage processes prevent prices of fundamentally related assets from drifting far away. An attractive model that reconciles these two conflicting facts is the nonlinear error correction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581105