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a comparable data set for Germany for the time period 1968-1990. We analyze this data set in order to identify a "best …/French for US stock returns is almost the best one in Germany. The book-to-market-ratio turns out to be the variable with highest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009661022
exchange the paper compares estimation results of parametric and nonparametric autoregressive models with respect to possible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580468
We consider a financial market model with interacting agents and study the long run behaviour of both aggregate behaviour and equilibrium prices. Investors are heterogeneous in their price expectations and they get stochastic signals about the "mood" of the market described by the empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582400
We consider a financial market model with a large number of interacting agents. Investors are heterogeneous in their expectations about the future evolution of an asset price process. Their current expectation is based on the previous states of their "neighbors" and on a random signal about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613599
Daily returns of financial assets are frequently found to exhibit positive autocorrelation at lag 1. When specifying a linear AR(l) conditional mean, one may ask how this predictability affects option prices. We investigate the dependence of option prices on autoregressive dynamics under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580460
. Institutional differences between Germany and the U.S. allow to disentangle the three main hypotheses on the announcement effect …. Consistently, abnormal returns around the announcement day are much lower in Germany than in the U.S. Although a significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580473
The efficient market hypothesis implies that asset prices cannot be cointegrated. On the other hand, arbitrage processes prevent prices of fundamentally related assets from drifting far away. An attractive model that reconciles these two conflicting facts is the nonlinear error correction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581105
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001917087
Stochastic Volatility (SV) models are widely used in financial applications. To decide whether standard parametric restrictions are justified for a given dataset, a statistical test is required. In this paper, we develop such a test based on the linear state space representation. We provide a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578026
This paper tests the validity of Present Value (PV) models of stock prices by employing a two-step strategy for testing the null hypothesis of no cointegration against alternatives which are fractionally cointegrated. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to evaluate the power and size...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582383