Showing 1 - 10 of 23
By combining two alternative formulations of a test statistic with two alternative resampling schemes we obtain four …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137131
By combining two alternative formulations of a test statistic with two alternative resamplingschemes we obtain four different bootstrap tests. In the context of static linear regression modelstwo of these are shown to have serious size and power problems, whereas the remaining two areadequate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256602
In simple static linear simultaneous equation models the empirical distributions of IV and OLS are examined under alternative sampling schemes and compared with their first-order asymptotic approximations. We demonstrate that the limiting distribution of consistent IV is not affected by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256767
This discussion paper led to a publication in the 'Journal of Econometrics', 2011, 163, 215-230.<P> We propose new scoring rules based on partial likelihood for assessing the relative out-of-sample predictive accuracy of competing density forecasts over a specific region of interest, such as the...</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255794
This discussion paper resulted in a publication in the <I>Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control</I>, 34(9), 1596-1609.<P> We introduce a statistical test for comparing the predictive accuracy of competing copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts, based on the Kullback-Leibler Information...</p></i>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256012
We introduce a statistical test for comparing the predictive accuracy of competing copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts, based on the Kullback-Leibler Information Criterion (KLIC). The test is valid under general conditions: in particular it allows for parameter estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005144392
Patton and Timmermann (2011, 'Forecast Rationality Tests Based on Multi-Horizon Bounds', <I>Journal of Business & Economic Statistics</I>, forthcoming) propose a set of useful tests for forecast rationality or optimality under squared error loss, including an easily implemented test based on a...</i>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322510
We propose new scoring rules based on partial likelihood for assessing the relative out-of-sample predictive accuracy of competing density forecasts over a specific region of interest, such as the left tail in financial risk management. By construction, existing scoring rules based on weighted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137187
Patton and Timmermann (2012, 'Forecast Rationality Tests Based on Multi-Horizon Bounds', <I>Journal of Business & Economic Statistics</I>, 30(1) 1-17) propose a set of useful tests for forecast rationality or optimality under squared error loss, including an easily implemented test based on a...</i>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256590
A novel simulation-based methodology is proposed to test the validity of a set of marginal time series models, where the dependence structure between the time series is taken ‘directly’ from the observed data. The procedure is useful when one wants to summarize the test results for several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257126