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This paper considers spot variance path estimation from datasets of intraday high frequency asset prices in the presence of diurnal variance patterns, jumps, leverage effects and microstructure noise. We rely on parametric and nonparametric methods. The estimated spot variance path can be used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008513245
investigating the robustness of cointegration methods. Finally, we illustrate how to obtain local power functions of cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137044
power problems, whereas the remaining two are adequate and in fact equivalent. The equivalence between the two valid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137131
We propose new scoring rules based on partial likelihood for assessing the relative out-of-sample predictive accuracy of competing density forecasts over a specific region of interest, such as the left tail in financial risk management. By construction, existing scoring rules based on weighted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137187
It is generally believed that for the power of unit root tests, only the time span and not the observation frequency … methods will yield power gains in the presence of fat tails and persistent volatility clustering, and the strength of these … features (and hence the power gains) increases with the observation frequency. This is illustrated using both Monte Carlo …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137272
can have better power than alternative Empirical Distribution Function tests. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136931
Carlo simulations demonstrate that the proposed test has satisfactory size and power properties in finite samples. Applying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005144392
The stability of the demand for real Ml in Indonesia is empirically examined using quarterly data between 1981 and 2002. A cointegrated VAR methodology that isolates the period of structural breaks in the data generating process of the variables, caused by the Asian crisis, is used. The results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005144429
In this paper the effect of excess narrow money (MI) on C PI intlation in Indonesia before, during, and after the Asian crisis is empirically examined. The standard model for the monetary analysis of inflation, i.e. the P-Star model by Hallman-Porter-Small (1991), is applied and tested...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005144495
for Value-at-Risk. Applications to simple AR and ARCH time series models show that its power in detecting certain … misspecifications is larger than the power of well-known tests for correct Unconditional Coverage and Conditional Coverage. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322510