L’objet de cette étude est d’évaluer l’impact des décisions des agences de notation (modifications de notation de crédit et les mises sous surveillance de ces notations) sur le prix des actions. Nous concentrons notre étude sur le marché français et comparons nos résultats aux...

The aim of this thesis is to analyze, from an empirical point of view, both the different varieties of economic and financial crises (typological analysis) and the context’s characteristics, which could be associated with a likely occurrence of such events. Consequently, we analyze both: years...

In this paper we discuss consistency of the posterior distribution in cases where the Kullback-Leibler condition is not verified. This condition is stated as : for all $\epsilon 0$ the prior probability of sets in the form $\{f ; KL(f0 , f ) \leq \epsilon\}$ where KL(f0 , f ) denotes the...

This paper examines the evolution of wealth distribution in France during the urbanization process of the nineteenth century, based on a comprehensive dataset of individual inheritances. It presents a spatial decomposition between rural and urban areas, distinguishing Paris from the rest of...

The assumption of log-concavity is a flexible and appealing non-parametric shape constraint in distribution modelling. In this work, we study the log-concave maximum likelihood estimator of a probability mass function. We show that the maximum likelihood estimator is strongly consistent and we...

Research on Bayesian nonparametric methods has received a growing interest for the past twenty years, especially since the development of powerful simulation algorithms which makes the implementation of complex Bayesian methods possible. From that point it is necessary to understand from a...

This article explores the influence of social background and social situation on the smoking career. This study is based on a sample of 4.473 individuals who answered the 2006 French Health, Health Care and Insurance Survey. The results of a non-parametric analysis and of a stratified Cox model...

A stationary Gaussian process is said to be long-range dependent (resp., anti-persistent) if its spectral density f(λ) can be written as f(λ)=|λ|−2dg(|λ|), where 0d1/2 (resp., −1/2d0), and g is continuous and positive. We propose a novel Bayesian nonparametric approach for the estimation...

The classes of monotone or convex (and necessarily monotone) densities on inline image can be viewed as special cases of the classes of k-monotone densities on inline image. These classes bridge the gap between the classes of monotone (1-monotone) and convex decreasing (2-monotone) densities for...

With hedgefunds, managers develop risk management models that mainly aim to play on the effect of de correlation.In order to achieve this goal,companies use the correlation coefficient as an indicator for measuring dependencies existing between(i)the various hedge funds strategies and share...