Showing 1 - 10 of 11
This paper describes a method for solving a class of forward-looking Markov-switching Rational Expectations models under noisy measurement, by specifying the unobservable expectations component as a general-measurable function of the observable states of the system, to be determined optimally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009023796
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968114
In the standard CAPM with a riskless asset we prove existence of equilibria without assuming concavity of the investor's utility functions. Moreover, we give a uniqueness result using assumptions on the risk aversion of investors.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968125
We demonstrate that in a CAPM economy Walras Law and the Tobin Separation Property characterize market demand in finite sets of prices. Consequently, for any number n there exist CAPM economies which have at least n equilibria and hence have n different beta pricing fomulas. It is shown that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968172
The rational expectations hypothesis is supported if rational expectations are stable with respect to reasonable learning procedures. We consider the Stochastic Gradient-Algorithm as a boundedly rational learning procedure in an univariate ARX-Model with forecast feedback. We prove that whenever...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968237
In this study we consider a linear model with forecast feedback in which boundedly rational agents are learning the parameter values of the rational expectations equilibrium by the OLS learning procedure. We show strong consistency of the OLS estimates under much weaker assumptions on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968302
In our model, individual consumers follow simple behavioral decision rules based on imitation and habit as suggested in consumer research, social learning, and related fields. Demand can be viewed as the outcome of a population game whose revision protocol is determined by the consumers'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968348
We analyze the strategic behavior of firms when demand is determined by a rule of thumb behavior of consumers. We assume consumer dynamics where individual consumers follow simple behavioral decision rules governed by imitation and habit as suggested in consumer research. On this basis, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968453
We consider Kyle's market order model of insider trading with multiple informed traders and show: if a linear equilibrium exists for two different numbers of informed traders, asset payoff and noise trading are independent and have finite second moments, then these random variables are normally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005001504
The theory of melioration, originally formulated for individual decision-making contexts, is formally extended to a game theoretic framework. This paper proves the existence of a distribution that is a melioration strategy on the part of all players. Further, the question of stability of such a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004989621