This paper analyses the fiscal performance of São Paulo state municipalities, between the years of 1989 and 2001, considering the influence of two political factors: the electoral agenda and the different political party ideologies. Based on panel data econometric methods, specific components...

This paper has as objective to build a composite economic activity index for the local economy, created as form of measuring the economic activity. We use the factor analysis technique to determinate the components and their weights. This local index is then compared to national ones. As a...

This paper analyses monetary policy in Brazil, investigating why interest rates were so high and volatile from 1995 to 1998. We identify in monetary policy an overreaction to external shocks, where exogenous changes in international liquidity triggered sharp movements on domestic interest rates....

This paper uses numerical methods to solve bank's cost minimization problem. Following Clouse and Dow (2002), we model bank's behavior using stochastic dynamic programming. We take account of institutional aspects of Brazilian regime that influence the bank's choice of reserves in the end of the...

This work presents a semi parametric approach to evaluate the role of the Central Bank reserve requirements, both remunerated and non-remunerated, over the bank interest rate distribution in Brazil between September/2000 and March/2004. We adopted the semi parametric approach developed by...

This paper aims to estimate output gap for Brazilian economy through di.erents methodolies. We use traditional univariate techniques and propose a new semi-estructural methodology that combines HP filtering and the production function approach. In order to compare the di.erent potential output...

Interaction between central banks and private sector occurs through communication between both parts. Accountability and influence on expectations are the two reasons because central banks communicate with markets. In fact, sometimes communicating objectives, targets and perceptions results in...

The aim of this paper is to analyze the performance of inflation targeting in Brazil and the role of prices controlled by the government and prices freely defined by the supply/demand system. We argue that the Brazilian inflation targeting regime has had some drawbacks, related to the...

The development of the process for liberalization and integration of the domestic markets on relation to the international markets along the last decades and the increasing volatility of capital flows resulted in the necessity of a higher coordination between fiscal and monetary policies. After...

This paper calculates the optimal monetary policy rule for Brazilian economy, assuming that monetary authority adopts a flexible inflation targeting regime in which, besides the inflation target, there is also a target for public debt/GDP ratio. According to the open economy proposed model, risk...