-of-sample predictions and forecasting. We identify economic drivers of our machine learning models using a novel framework based on Shapley …

. Nevertheless, their forecasting properties are still barely explored. We fill this gap by comparing the quality of real … priors from a DSGE model. We show that the analyzed DSGE model is relatively successful in forecasting the US economy in the … accurate forecasting power of the DSGE turns out to be similar or better than that of the SPF for all the variables and …

choice of data transformation. - Aggregation ; Forecasting ; Inflation …

paper gives a literature overview over existing studies that deal with the forecasting power of various ifo indicators both … powerful tool both for an in-depth business cycle diagnosis and for applied forecasting work …