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We examine forecast accuracy and efficiency of the Social Security Administration’s projections for cost rate, trust fund balance, trust fund ratio made during 1980-2020 with horizons up to 95 years. We find that the reported deterioration in the accuracy of the forecasts during 2010’s has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313449
Pay-as-you-go (PAYG) social security schemes in the OECD countries are facing solvency problems, as people are living longer and birth rates have declined. Postponing the full retirement age (FRA), when retirees are entitled to full pension, has been proposed as a solution. This effectively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314811
opportunities and outcomes. We elicit redistribution decisions from a U.S.-representative sample who observe worker outcomes and … lucky opportunities. Our findings have implications for models that seek to understand and predict redistribution attitudes …, and help to explain the gap between lab evidence on support for redistribution and U.S. inequality trends …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014357631
Income equality and trust seem to go along with several other ingredients of social capital as determinants of economic growth across the globe. In a large sample of countries, equality in the distribution of income as measured by the World Bank and by The Standardized World Income Inequality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892099
that the choices of the proposers and the responders are consistent with social identity theory (higher offers and lower …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908662
In most OECD countries, pension reform policy has decreased the level of intragenerational redistribution over the last … three decades, that is, redistribution among members of the same generation with high and low pension entitlements. This … relationship between inequality of entitlements, mortality risk, and the size of redistribution in a stylized social security …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292508
conventional wisdom, rather than calling for more redistribution, the presence of this scale dependence provides a rationale for …. At an aggregate level, a rise in redistribution induces a compression effect on the distribution of pre-tax returns. In … the financial market, I identify general equilibrium trickle-up externalities that provide a force for more redistribution …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233147
How do parents contend with threats to the health and survival of their children? Can the social safety net mitigate negative economic effects through transfers to affected families? We study these questions by combining the universe of cancer diagnoses among Danish children with register data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014356602
The goal of this research is to explore whether actual lottery revenues are sensitive to scarcity, as measured by intra-monthly variation in financial resources. Exogenous paydays of social security benefits are employed to generate the intra-monthly variation in financial resources. Using two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861458
We show how normative standpoints determine optimal taxation of wealth. Since wealth is not equal to capital, we find very different welfare implications of land rent-, bequest- and capital taxation. It is mainly land rents that should be taxed. We develop an overlapping generations model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841621