Showing 41 - 50 of 150
We assess to which degree an international transfer mechanism can enhance consumption risk sharing as well as … analyze the changing dynamics that a EUBS brings about. We find that a EUBS can provide risk sharing by stabilizing relative …-spending shocks. Yet, since this trade-off between allocative efficiency and consumption risk sharing does not exist after certain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236196
We analyse the extent to which firm-level uncertainty is affected by aggregate uncertainty. Firm-level uncertainty is constructed from a large and monthly panel dataset of manufacturing firms. We find that aggregate uncertainty has a positive and robust impact on firm-level uncertainty. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239562
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251271
The paper analyzes under what circumstances policymakers experiment with policies with uncertain outcomes, when they prefer to imitate policies initiated in other countries, and when they prefer to coordinate policies internationally. Policymakers have private costs of active policies and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289693
We examine subjective risk premia implied by return expectations of individual investors and professionals for … excess returns suggest that objective risk premia vary countercyclically with business cycle variables and aggregate asset … valuation measures, subjective risk premia extracted from survey data do not comove much with these variables. This lack of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292049
methods provide better overall forecasting performance and offer more attractive risk profiles compared to individual, pooled …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292495
the period of turmoil. We highlight risk attitude as an important selection mechanism, beyond education and other … economic times, (ii) that this risk preference was passed on to their children and (iii) that risk preference is correlated … with criminal participation. Maternal selection along risk preference might thus be an important mechanism explaining the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292502
We estimate a novel measure of global financial uncertainty (GFU) with a dynamic factor framework that jointly models global, regional, and country-specific factors. We quantify the impact of GFU shocks on global output with a VAR analysis that achieves set-identification via a combination of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246469
We consider optimal non-linear income tax problems when the social welfare function only depends on ranks as in Yaari (1987) and weights agree with the Lorenz quasi-ordering. Gini, S-Gini, and a class putting more emphasis on inequality in the upper part of the distribution belong to this set....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827661
proposing a novel news media-based measure of climate change transition risk and show that when such risk is high, major …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314753