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Carlo experiments, where we also study the estimation of the aggregate effects of micro and macro shocks. The paper … concludes with an empirical application to consumer price inflation in Germany, France and Italy, and re-examines the extent to …
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direct forecasts when estimation error is a first-order concern, i.e. in small samples and for long forecast horizons …
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. We discuss estimation of impulse response functions and variance decompositions in such large systems, and present …
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Present value calculations require predictions of cash flows both at near and distant future points in time. Such predictions are generally surrounded by considerable uncertainty and may critically depend on assumptions about parameter values as well as the form and stability of the data...
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Modelling of conditional volatilities and correlations across asset returns is an integral part of portfolio decision making and risk management. Over the past three decades there has been a trend towards increased asset return correlations across markets, a trend which has been accentuated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965868