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aggregate demand gains momentum. If inflation also has inertia, the central bank still overheats the economy during the low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886884
During the Great Recession, despite the large fall in output, inflation did not fall much. This is known as the missing … inflation during the Great Recession. We show that inflation did not fall much because intermediate goods prices were increasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011292980
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003498824
type of shock. Expansionary securitization shocks lead to a permanent rise in real GDP and a fall in inflation. Bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257361
stronger than that of the long end (i.e., of long term ones). In other words, a financial uncertainty shock causes a temporary … recovery in real activity after a financial uncertainty shock. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029082
-specific models include a Phillips curve determining inflation, an IS curve determining output, a Taylor Rule determining interest … through error spillover effects. Bootstrapped error bands are also provided for the cross country responses of a shock to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003974674
In the presence of dispersed information, agents may decide to take into account the actions of other agents because of the possible additional information conveyed by these actions. We call the act of using other agents' actions in the individual decision process social learning. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489440
margin of flexibility in coping with adverse shocks. In this setting, we simulate a risk shock that propagates its effects in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011882444
Interest-rate spreads fluctuate widely across time and countries. We characterize their behavior using some 3,200 quarterly observations for 21 advanced and 17 emerging economies since the early 1990s. Before the financial crisis, spreads are 10 times more volatile in emerging economies than in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012162762
A common practice in empirical macroeconomics is to examine alternative recursive orderings of the variables in structural vector autogressive (VAR) models. When the implied impulse responses look similar, the estimates are considered trustworthy. When they do not, the estimates are used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013463407