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assets (gold, oil, and stocks) covering the period from 1987 to 2012. The analysis is performed on both intra-day and daily …. Heterogeneity prevails in correlations between gold and stocks. After the 2008 crisis, correlations among all three assets increase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010515402
This paper investigates whether gold and silver can be considered safe havens by examining their long-run linkages with … 22 stock price indices. More specifically, the stochastic properties of the differential between gold/silver prices and … is found for the gold price differential vis-à-vis BEF, BSE, CAC, DOW, KLS, KS1, MXX, N100, NAS, NYA and SP5 and for both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013445596
Using high-frequency transaction data for the three largest European markets (France, Germany and Italy), this paper documents the existence of an asymmetric relationship between market liquidity and trading imbalances: when quoted spreads rise (fall) and liquidity falls (increases) buy (sell)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008798823
We analyze the exchange rate forecasting performance under the assumption of selective attention. Although currency … for the presence of selective attention offer improved fitting and forecasting results. Specifically, we document a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012433963
This paper estimates and solves a multi-country version of the standard DSGE New Keynesian (NK) model. The country-specific models include a Phillips curve determining inflation, an IS curve determining output, a Taylor Rule determining interest rates, and a real effective exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003974674
We explore the impact of mortgage securitization on the international diversification of macroeconomic risk. By making mortgage-related risks internationally tradeable, securitization contributes considerably to better international consumption risk sharing: we find that countries with the most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003806732
The popular scholarly exercise of evaluating exchange rate forecasting models relative to a random walk was stimulated … rates approach forecasting from a different perspective. Rather than focus on forecast errors for bilateral exchange rates … magnitude of portfolio drawdowns. -- exchange rate forecasting ; forecast evaluation ; conditioners ; quantitative models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743826
constructed by exploiting variations in the price of gold around events that capture periods of changes in uncertainty. The … variations in the price of gold around the events correlate with the underlying uncertainty shocks, due to the perception of gold …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011602536
In the paper we analyze determinants of the capital market beta risk in Poland in the monthly period 1996-2002. The beta risk is measured as a time-varying parameter estimated in a regression of the Warsaw stock indexes (WIG and WIG20 separately) on major foreign stock market indexes (DJIA,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011402721
usefulness for forecasting real oil prices and global petroleum consumption. We find that world industrial production is one of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012213172