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In a VAR model of the US, the response of the relative price of durables to a monetary contraction is either flat or mildly positive. It significantly falls only if narrowly defined as the ratio between new house and nondurables prices. These findings survive three identification strategies and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010515460
This paper estimates and solves a multi-country version of the standard DSGE New Keynesian (NK) model. The country … restrictions implied by the NK theory. The multi-country DSGE NK model is then solved to provide estimates of identified supply … through error spillover effects. Bootstrapped error bands are also provided for the cross country responses of a shock to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003974674
-sized uncertainty shock generates a larger contraction in real activity when growth is low (as in recessions) than when growth is high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628705
What are the effects of beliefs, sentiment, and uncertainty, over the business cycle? To answer this question, we develop a behavioral New Keynesian macroeconomic model, in which we relax the assumption of rational expectations. Agents are, instead, boundedly rational: they have a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012294890
a medium-scale new-Keynesian DSGE model with a minimum-distance approach. The DSGE model is shown to be able to …, we identify a steeper new-Keynesian Phillips curve as the key factor behind the DSGE model's ability to replicate the … milder macroeconomic responses to a monetary policy shock estimated with our VAR in presence of high uncertainty. A version …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011781355
This paper investigates the effects of uncertainty on the macro economy by replicating its micro effects on individual subjective beliefs. In our model, the representative household has smooth ambiguity preferences and is uncertain about which scenario the economy will be in the next period:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364652
Keynesian DSGE model consisting of two heterogeneous countries. The model is solved using data from Germany and Italy. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430977
paper I present two paradigms that attempt to explain these booms and busts. One is the DSGE-paradigm in which agents have … study the different policy implications of these two paradigms. -- DSGE-model ; imperfect information ; heuristics ; animal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008806543
We incorporate inequity aversion into an otherwise standard New Keynesian dynamic equilibrium model with Calvo wage contracts and positive inflation. Workers with relatively low incomes experience envy, whereas those with relatively high incomes experience guilt. The former seek to raise their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009488916
surveys. To explain the joint evolution of realized variables and expectations, we adopt a DSGE-VAR approach, which allows us … to estimate all models in the continuum between the extremes of an unrestricted VAR, on one side, and a DSGE model in … which the cross-equation restrictions are dogmatically imposed, on the other side. Moreover, the DSGE-VAR approach allows us …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011541080