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We develop interpretable, quantitative indices of the objective and subjective complexity of lottery choice problems that can be computed for any standard dataset. These indices capture the predicted error rate in identifying the lottery with the highest expected value, where the predictions are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014340230
While the significance of narrative thinking has been increasingly recognized by social scientists, very little empirical research has documented its consequences for economically significant outcomes. The current paper addresses this gap in one important domain: valuations. In three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014384016
Socio-economic criteria for climate projects have been used in analysing the value of the climate benefit of a reduction in CO2. These reports are optimistic, yet CCS demonstration plants are not implemented as expected. Little attention has been devoted to profitability assessments based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010223461
to what a traditional rational optimizing agent would choose. This model is a first step to understand decision-making in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010192076
There is a planning gap for CCS projects in Europe. CCS demonstration plants are not implemented as expected. This fact is at odds with optimistic valuation reports that apply socio-economic valuation criteria for climate projects. However, CCS plants are in most cases to be implemented by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010393639
Under regret theory, decision-makers derive utility both from the outcome of their chosen action and the counterfactual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011485182
.g. gender, race, sugar) have a stronger effect when the attribute is mixed with others, and so the decision becomes less …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011415271
implemented. Fama & Jensen (1983) argue that the same members of many organization are often responsible for both decision … to express their discontent with the allocation of decision rights. How decisions come about also affects implementation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011342342
-consistent expectations. This implicitly assumes unrealistic cognitive abilities on the part of economic decision makers. The relevant … question, however, is not whether the assumption can be literally correct, but how much it would matter to model decision … problems such as chess or go, in which decision makers look ahead only a finite distance into the future, and use a value …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864457
intuitive decision while others allow for extensive reflection time. To be able to pursue a deceptive strategy, however, a … dimension for dishonest decision-making and for the cognition process of the chance to deceive. We conduct a laboratory … opportunity and the conscious decision to misreport, reveals that more reflection time increases awareness of the misreporting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011723505