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We investigate the potential for statistical forecasting of aggregate oil and gas investment on the Norwegian Continental Shelf (NCS). A unique and detailed dataset containing data from 109 different fields on the NCS between 1970 and 2015 was employed. A set of 1080 autoregressive distributed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544319
The oil and gas sector plays a crucial role in the Norwegian economy. It accounts for a very large proportion of gross domestic product, government revenues, investment and exports. A sharp fall in oil prices has had a significant impact on the economy and focused great attention on the cost...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554409
On April 20, 2010, the Macondo well suffered a blowout, causing the mobile offshore drilling unit "Deepwater Horizon" to explode and eventually sink. Oil flowed from the well into the Gulf of Mexico for 87 days. In the aftermath of this event, the US Government proposed significant regulatory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011700264
Investments in oil and gas fields are regressed against variables on panel field-data from the start of oil and gas production on the Norwegian continental shelf in 1968 until 2016. Two alternative models track the observed investments aggregated across fields from 1970 until 2016 relatively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011933936
This analysis seeks to understand whether changes in oil regulation brought about by the shale revolution have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011853142
This article examines how the shale oil revolution has shaped the evolution of U.S. crude oil and gasoline prices. It puts the evolution of shale oil production into historical perspective, highlights uncertainties about future shale oil production, and cautions against the view that the U.S....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011417696
Starting in late 2008, the U.S. production of tight oil surged, causing a renaissance in the U.S. oil sector that few industry analysts had anticipated. This tight oil boom reduced the dependence of the United States on petroleum imports and allowed it to become a major exporter of gasoline and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011615967
We explore the effect on U.S. real GDP growth of the sharp and sustained decline in the global price of crude oil and hence in the U.S. price of gasoline after June 2014. Our analysis suggests that this decline produced a cumulative stimulus of about 0.9 percentage points of real GDP growth by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011601181
We model consumer choices for cannabis in a risky environment and determine the supply of cannabis under prohibition and legalization. While introducing a legal market reduces the profits of illegal providers, it increases cannabis consumption. We show that this trade-off can be overcome by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304299
Regulation often evolves, and affected consumers or firms may adjust their behavior in anticipation of potential … changes to regulation. Using shifting land use regulation boundaries and oil lease prices from Canada, we estimate the effect … unregulated leases. Based on our estimates, not accounting for anticipation underestimates the total cost of the regulation by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489414