Showing 1 - 10 of 231
This paper compares different ways to estimate the current state of the economy using factor models that can handle unbalanced datasets. Due to the different release lags of business cycle indicators, data unbalancedness often emerges at the end of multivariate samples, which is sometimes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003634929
The interrelationship between financial constraints and firm activity is a hotly debated issue. The way firms cope with financial constraints is fundamental to the analysis of monetary transmission, of financial stability and of growth and development. The CBI Industrial Trends Survey contains...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002681975
The canonical New Keynesian model specifies inflation as the present-value of future real marginal cost. This paper tests this New Keynesian Phillips Curve and exploits projections of future real marginal cost generated by VAR models to assess the model’s ability to match the behavior of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002682265
Results from portfolio models for credit risk tell us that loan concentration in certain industry sectors can substantially increase the value-at-risk (VaR). The purpose of this paper is to analyze whether a tractable infection modelʺ can provide a meaningful estimate of the impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003326735
Panel unit root tests of real exchange rates as opposed to univariate tests usually reject non-stationarity. These tests, however, could be biased if the real exchange rate contained MA roots. Indeed, two independent arguments claim that the real exchange rate, being a sum of a stationary and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003359011
A number of recent studies and evidence for the existence of a persistent performance gap between multinational enterprises (MNE) and their domestic competitors. Therefore, the question arises whether successful firms become MNEs or whether going abroad improves home market performance. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003275966
This paper tests some of the predictions of recent advances in trade theory that have focused on different trade patterns of firms within the same sector. Helpman, Melitz and Yeaple (2005) develop a model in which innate productivity differences between firms determine the degree of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003275970
In this paper, we present a disaggregated framework for the analysis of past and projected structural developments in the most relevant revenue and expenditure categories and the fiscal balance. The framework, in particular, distinguishes between the effects of discretionary fiscal policy and of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003304931
The question as to whether changes in the external environment may have caused the importance of key determinants of German exports to shift since the 1990s is addressed by estimating Germany’s exports to EMU partner countries (intra exports) and to countries outside the euro area (extra...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003304947
The coordination channel has been proposed as a means by which foreign exchange market intervention may be effective, in addition to the traditional portfolio balance and signaling channels. If strong and persistent misalignments of the exchange rate are caused by non-fundamental influences,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003304957