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macroeconomic time series. The coincident economic indicator is based on a multivariate trend-cycle decomposition model that … accounts for time variation in macroeconomic volatility, known as the great moderation. In particular, we consider an … unobserved components time series model with a common cycle that is shared across different time series but adjusted for phase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011376640
In this paper we replace the Gaussian errors in the standard Gaussian, linear state space model with stochastic volatility processes. This is called a GSSF-SV model. We show that conventional MCMC algorithms for this type of model are ineffective, but that this problem can be removed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334849
distributions. We allow for stochastic volatility by modeling the variance as a stochastic function of time, with intra-day periodic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456723
In this paper we analyse the effect of a cutoff transaction size in a simple newsboy setting. It is assumed that customers with an order larger than a prespecified size are satisfied in an alternative way, against additional cost. For compound Poisson demand with discrete order sizes, we show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010363191
In most multi-item inventory systems, the ordering costs consist of a major cost and a minor cost for each item … included. Applying for every individual item a cyclic inventory policy, where the cycle length is a multiple of some basic … cycle time, reduces the major ordering costs. An efficient algorithm to determine the optimal policy of this type is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010336361
In this paper an inventory model with several demand classes, prioritised according to importance, is analysed. We … consider a lot-for-lot or (S-1,S) inventory model with lost sales.For each demand class there is a critical stock level at and … generally distributed lead time we derive expressions for the service levels for each demand class and the average total cost …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010371114
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000122510
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000122528
This paper proposes an alternative, dynamic framework for estimatingtime-varying values of travel time savings and … values of schedule delay, in whichtime-preferences are represented as the time-varying excess willingness to pay(EWPT) to … being in the one location, over being elsewhere. It is shown how theconventional linear model, with time-independent values …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372988
Most evidence of hyperbolic discounting is based on violations of either stationarity or time consistency as observed … in choice experiments. These choice reversals may however also result from time-varying discount rates. Hyperbolic … discounting is a plausible explanation for choice reversals only if violations of stationarity and time consistency overlap. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011307819