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theory entails three sets of propositions in which we attempt to account for stability, change and also volatility. First, it …-individual differences in the volatility/variability of LS over time; why some individuals display high volatility and others low, even …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011502854
In this paper, a survey on theoretically expected and empirically proved impacts of exchange rate volatility is given …. With regard to the West German unemployment, the effects of volatility are empirically analysed using three different … volatility measures and four country groups. In autoregressive models, a significant disturbing impact of volatility can be found …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011294706
The interest rate represents an important monetary policy tool to steer investment in order to reach price stability. Therefore, implications of the exact form and magnitude of the interest rate-investment nexus for the European Central Bank's effectiveness in a low interest rate environment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012099559
We survey samples of German firms and households to document novel stylized facts about the extent of information frictions among the two groups. First, firms' expectations about macroeconomic variables are closer to expert forecasts and less dispersed than households', consistent with higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886985
paper offers a solution to this disagreement, suggesting that volatility carries a positive direct effect, but also a … volatility is then ambiguous. The paper reveals the underlying endogeneity of government size in a balanced panel of 95 countries … increase of volatility lowers growth by up to 0.57 percentage points in a democracy, but raises growth by 1.74 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228789
tests the hypotheses derived by exploiting the introduction of a "fresh start" policy in Germany in 1999 as a natural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009126032
proposed. The expression for a modified likelihood function is obtained for estimation and inference in a fixed-T context …. Using a bias-corrected likelihood approach makes it possible to reduce the estimation bias to a term of order 1/T². The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003936729
vanished, (ii) the relative volatility of employment has risen, and (iii) the relative (and absolute) volatility of the real … observed decline in output volatility. -- labor hoarding ; labor market frictions ; wage rigidities ; effort choice …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008779865
than by GARCH type volatility estimates. The t-DCC estimation procedure is applied to a portfolio of daily returns on …-DCC specification. The t-DCC model also passes a number of VaR diagnostic tests over an evaluation sample. The estimation results … suggest a general trend towards a lower level of return volatility, accompanied by a rising trend in conditional cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003586562
What is the relationship between economic growth and its volatility? Does political instability affect growth directly … or indirectly, through volatility? This paper tries to answer such questions using a power-ARCH framework with annual … legislative changes) has an indirect (through volatility) negative impact. We also find preliminary support for the idea that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003557361