The recent observed decline of business cycle variability suggests that broad macroeconomic risk may have fallen as well. This may in turn have some impact on equity risk premia. We investigate the latent structures in the volatilities of the business cycle and stock market valuations by...

The aim of this paper is to discuss efficient algorithms for the pricing of American options by two recently proposed Monte-Carlo type methods, namely the Malliavian calculus and the regression based approaches. We explain how both technics can be exploded with improved complexity and...

We propose a method for pricing American options whose payoff depends on the moving average of the underlying asset price. The method uses a finite-dimensional approximation of the infinite-dimensional dynamics of the moving average process based on a truncated Laguerre series expansion. The...

L’objet de cette étude est d’évaluer l’impact des décisions des agences de notation (modifications de notation de crédit et les mises sous surveillance de ces notations) sur le prix des actions. Nous concentrons notre étude sur le marché français et comparons nos résultats aux...

This paper analyzes the special features of electricity spot prices derived from the physics of this commodity and from the economics of supply and demand in a market pool. Besides mean-reversion, a property they share with other commodities, power prices exhibit the unique feature of spikes in...

We consider the discretized version of a (continuous-time) two-factor model introduced by Benth and coauthors for the electricity markets. For this model, the underlying is the exponent of a sum of independent random variables. We provide and test an algori thm, which is based on the celebrated...

Purpose – This paper aims to analyze the statistical characteristics of changes in property forward prices. As highlighted in a survey conducted at the MIT Center for Real Estate in 2006, the relatively weak understanding in their prices is one of the most important barriers in their use. In...

This article proposes a new empirical methodology for computing a cross-market volatility index - coined CMIX - based on the Factor-Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) model, implemented on volatility surprises. This approach solves problems in treating high-dimensional data and estimating...

This paper contributes to the crucial problem of LIBOR malfunctioning due to its manipulation by banks, a phenomenon described clearly in the FSA Inquiry Report published in September 2012. After applying classical tests of non-stationarity to a series of participating banks’ LIBOR quotes, we...

Casella and Robert (1996) presented a general Rao--Blackwellisation principle for accept-reject and Metropolis-Hastings schemes that leads to significant decreases in the variance of the resulting estimators, but at a high cost in computing and storage. Adopting a completely different...