Outliers can lead to model misspecifications, poor forecasts and invalid inferences. Their identification and correction is therefore an important objective of financial modeling. This paper introduces a simple method to detect outliers in a financial series. It uses an AR(1)–GARCH(1,1) model...

With hedgefunds, managers develop risk management models that mainly aim to play on the effect of de correlation.In order to achieve this goal,companies use the correlation coefficient as an indicator for measuring dependencies existing between(i)the various hedge funds strategies and share...

This paper analyzes the special features of electricity spot prices derived from the physics of this commodity and from the economics of supply and demand in a market pool. Besides mean-reversion, a property they share with other commodities, power prices exhibit the unique feature of spikes in...

Dans un contexte de vieillissement de la population, différents scenarii sont envisagés pour réformer l'organisation et le financement de la prise en charge des personnes âgées dépendantes. La place de la prévoyance individuelle dans le financement de la dépendance est à ce titre...

Insurance coverage for natural disasters remains low in many exposed areas. A limited supply of insurance is commonly identified as a primary causal factor in this low insurance coverage. The French overseas departments provide a rare natural experiment of a well-developed supply of natural...

In this paper, we want to characterize the optimal health insurance contract with adverse selection and moral hazard. We assume that policyholders differ by the permanent health status loss and choose an unobservable preventive effort in order to reduce the probability of illness which is...

This paper investigates the impact of health risk on insurance contract with hazard moral. We use a bi-dimensional utility function (wealth and health status). We prove that the type of health risk influences the equilibrium of insurance market. A full coverage is possible with moral hazard....