There is a long and distinguished literature involving demand analysis using international cross-section data. Such models are widely used for predicting national per capita consumption. However, there is nothing in this literature testing the performance of estimated models in predicting...

Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models are commonly used for global agricultural market analysis. However, concerns are sometimes raised about the quality of their output since key parameters may not be econometrically estimated and little emphasis is generally given to model assessment....

Paper prepared for the World Bank's Conference on Developing Countries and the Millennium Round, Council Room, WTO Secretariat, Centre William Rappard, Geneva, 19-20 September. The importance of manufactures trade to the developing countries has increased dramatically since the early 1980s, and...

May 1998 Purdue AGEC Staff Paper #98-5 A newly developed demand system is used to estimate the response of food and food product demand to per capita expenditure changes. The resulting Engel elasticities are then used to project food and food product demand in 2020 assuming per capita...

Poverty reduction is an increasingly important consideration in the deliberations over multilateral trade liberalization. However, the analytical procedures used to assess the impacts of multilateral trade liberalization on poverty are rudimentary, at best. Most poverty studies have focused on a...

Paper presented at the 2nd Annual Conference on Global Economics Analysis, Denmark, June 20-22. The paper proposes a new disequilibrium approach to modeling international capital mobility for a dynamic multi- region general equilibrium model. Key to this approach are errors in investors’...

Earlier versions of this paper were presented at the International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium Meetings San Diego, CA, December 14-16, 1997 and at the 1st Annual Conference in Global Economic Analysis, Purdue University, June 1998 This study assesses the interaction between climate...

Published in "Agriculture and the New Trade Agenda From a Development Perspective", edited by M. D. Ingco and L. A. Winters, Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press Much remains to be done before agricultural trade is as liberal as world trade in manufactures. But agriculture is...

Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, Second Quarter The East Asian crisis is not all bad news for the United States and Canada (North America). Net debtors in North America – be they individual families refinancing their mortgages, businesses financing their expansion, or...

REVISED September 2000 Paper presented at the Conference on Global Economics Transformation after the Asian Economic Crisis, Hong Kong, May 27-28, 2000. Forthcoming in World Economy. Since China’s application in 1987 to resume its status in the Generalized Agreement on Trade and Tariffs...