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To estimate the New Keynesian model, we use four key macroeconomic series for Thailand. The priors are chosen to reflect general considerations of the appropriate model dynamics and our judgment about the Thai economy. The model is solved initially so that the baseline forecast replicates staff...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242710
This Selected Issues paper assesses the youth unemployment problem in advanced European economies, especially the euro area. Youth unemployment rates increased sharply in the euro area after the crisis. Much of these increases can be explained by output dynamics and the greater sensitivity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012678337
EXECUTIVE SUMMARYEuroclear Bank is a securities settlement system that contributes to the safety and efficiency of global markets for government bonds and other international securities but also concentrates systemic risk. It is one of the largest securities settlement systems worldwide with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677395
model embodies the key principle that, in an inflation-targeting framework, the role of monetary policy is to provide an … anchor for inflation and inflation expectations. The development and calibration of this model is an ongoing process. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245389
This paper examines the inflation expectations, monetary policy credibility, and dollarization. Country fundamentals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245416
This Selected Issues paper for South Africa presents a quantitative analysis of inflation dynamics in the country. The … inflation. Exposed to exchange rate and other shocks, the model confirms that a delayed policy response to inflation shocks … leads to persistently higher inflation rates and, subsequently, to a sharp real contraction of the economy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005252771
An important aim of this paper is to take shifts in the long-term anchor in the empirical specifications. The study examines exchange-rate pass-through and external adjustment in the euro area. The impact on third-country trade and investment is also discussed. A better understanding of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005824959
This Selected Issues paper for Iceland reports that it faces a considerably less favorable inflation-output variability … of inflation breaching the tolerance band and help to lower the probability of such events occurring. To effectively … target inflation, central banks need to be forward looking, responding early to prospective demand pressures. Having housing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825421
with inflation and inflation targeting. It examines several institutional aspects of inflation targeting and compares … Israel with other emerging market regimes. Various procedural issues associated with implementing an inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768507
This Selected Issues paper on Denmark underlies estimates of inefficiencies in the goods and labor markets. The IMF’s new macroeconomic model, the global economic model (GEM), has been used to provide estimates of the impact of successfully implementing the European Council’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768530