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Monetary aggregates continue to play an important role in the ECB's policy strategy. This paper revisits the case for money, surveying the ongoing theoretical and empirical debate. The key conclusion is that an exclusive focus on non-monetary factors alone may leave the ECB with an incomplete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599686
been to raise inflation targets to provide more room for policy rate easing during crises. This paper addresses a different … issue: the relationship between inflation and welfare. The literature is surveyed and a model is developed. A key conclusion … is that an increase in inflation targets gives rise to additional welfare costs, even after the extra room to m …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620967
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. INFLATION AND MONETARY POLICY IN THE KYRGYZ REPUBLIC -- III. SEASONAL … CHARACTERISTICS OF CONSUMER PRICES -- IV. MODELING AND FORECASTING INFLATION -- V. CONCLUDING REMARKS -- References -- Appendix …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691121
This paper analyzes the dramatic rise in U.S. inflation since 2020, which we decompose into a rise in core inflation as … measured by the weighted median inflation rate and deviations of headline inflation from core. We explain the rise in core with …-through into core from past shocks to headline inflation. The headline shocks themselves are explained largely by increases in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060003
supply chain disruptions for inflation and monetary policy in sub-Saharan Africa. Increases in supply chain pressures have … had a sizeable impact on headline, food, and tradable inflation for a panel of 29 sub-Saharan African countries from 2000 … to 2022. Our findings suggest that central banks can stabilize inflation and output more efficiently by monitoring global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059659
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. THE NONACCELERATING INFLATION RATE OF FACTOR UTILIZATION -- III. FACTOR … UTILIZATION IN RUSSIA -- A. Capacity Utilization -- B. Labor Utilization -- C. Estimating the Natural Rate -- IV. OUTPUT GAP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691060
transformed money demand, in addition to the observed output gap and inflation, into a simple but optimal interest rate rule …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650625
high degree of exchange rate pass-through to headline inflation and the weak monetary transmission mechanism in PICs … suggest a greater efficacy of exchange rate changes in affecting inflation rather than monetary policy. To assess the tradeoff … rate changes and headline inflation and the low interest rate sensitivity of aggregate demand. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790298
This paper applies a state-space approach to estimate the implicit inflation target of the South African Reserve Bank … (SARB) since the adoption of the Inflation Targeting (IT) framework. The paper's findings are two. First, although the … official inflation target range is 3.6 percent, in practice, the SARB seems to have aimed for the upper segment of the band (41 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621000
We propose a new approach to test the full-information rational expectations hypothesis which can identify whether rejections of the null arise from information rigidities. This approach quantifies the economic significance of departures from the null and the underlying degree of information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009679674