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Electricity consumption and temperature : evidence from satellite data
Yao, Jiaxiong - 2021
minimum electricity consumption is around 14.6 degree C for the world and it is higher in urban and more industrial areas; and …Past studies on the relationship between electricity consumption and temperature have primarily focused on individual … by satellites, night light has a strong linear relationship with electricity consumption and is correlated with both its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012517931
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Special Agricultural Safeguards : Virtual Benefits and Real Costs-Lessons for the Doha Round
Hallaert, Jean-Jacques - 2005
In the Doha Round, negotiators are discussing the elimination or continuation of the special agricultural safeguards introduced by the Uruguay Round as well as the creation of special safeguard mechanism for use by developing countries. This paper argues that, in violation of the spirit of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400731
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Assessing Protectionism and Subsidies in Agriculture : A Gravity Approach
Paiva, Claudio - 2005
This paper provides the first comprehensive empirical analysis of agricultural trade using a gravity model. The data set covers bilateral trade in agricultural goods for 152 countries over the periods 1990-93 and 1999-2002. The estimations support claims that protectionism and distortive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401036
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Crop selection and international differences in aggregate agricultural productivity
Alvarez, Jorge A.; Berg, Claudia - 2019
-induced crop-specific comparative advantages can explain a substantial share of the variation in yields across the world. Data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012103617
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External liabilities and crises
Catão, Luis; Milesi-Ferretti, Gian Maria - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009756807
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The External Balance Assessment (EBA) methodology
Phillips, Steven T.; Catão, Luis; Ricci, Luca Antonio; … - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010389823
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Energy transition metals
Boer, Lukas; Pescatori, Andrea; Stuermer, Martin - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796674
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Improving the short-term forecast of world trade during the Covid-19 pandemic using SWIFT data on letters of credit
Carton, Benjamin; Hu, Nan; Mongardini, Joannes; Moriya, Kei - 2020
An essential element of the work of the Fund is to monitor and forecast international trade. This paper uses SWIFT … (PMI), to improve the short-term forecast of international trade. A horse race between linear regressions and machine …-learning algorithms for the world and 40 large economies shows that forecasts based on linear regressions often outperform those based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392595
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Granger predictability of oil prices after the Great Recession
Benk, Szilárd; Gillman, Max - 2019
Real oil prices surged from 2009 through 2014, comparable to the 1970's oil shock period. Standard explanations based on monopoly markup fall short since inflation remained low after 2009. This paper contributes strong evidence of Granger (1969) predictability of nominal factors to oil prices,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154675
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Measuring global and country-specific uncertainty
Ozturk, Ezgi O.; Sheng, Xuguang - 2017
Motivated by the literature on the capital asset pricing model, we decompose the uncertainty of a typical forecaster into common and idiosyncratic uncertainty. Using individual survey data from the Consensus Forecasts over the period of 1989-2014, we develop monthly measures of macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011748782