Economists are currently divided over the question of what represents a more immediate threat to the global economy - deflation or excessive infl ation. Using stochastic simulations, this article extrapolates the likely inflation rates in individual European countries and the euro area as a...

For many years, the guardians of the world's currency system have tried to cure the symptoms of its illness. They were not even altogether unsuccessful in their attempts to maintain the system of Bretton Woods. But its shortcomings are still conspicuous. One crisis after another occurs, and the...