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DSGE Model-Based Forecasting of Non-Modelled Variables
Schorfheide, Frank - 2010
This paper develops and illustrates a simple method to generate a DSGE model-based forecast for variables that do not explicitly appear in the model (non-core variables). We use auxiliary regressions that resemble measurement equations in a dynamic factor model to link the non-core variables to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757579
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Density forecasting of intraday call center arrivals using models based on exponential smoothing
Taylor, James W. - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 58 (2012) 3, pp. 534-549
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009525268
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Long-term strategic asset allocation : an out-of-sample evaluation
Diris, Bart; Palm, Franz C.; Schotman, Peter C. - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 61 (2015) 9, pp. 2185-2202
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372433
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An empirical investigation of dynamic ordering policies
Larson, Chad R.; Turcic, Danko; Zhang, Fuqiang - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 61 (2015) 9, pp. 2118-2138
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372447
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Asset-pricing implications of dividend volatility
Li, Yan; Yang, Liyan - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 59 (2013) 9, pp. 2036-2055
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010194838
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Is it better to average probabilities or quantiles?
Lichtendahl, Kenneth C.; Grushka-Cockayne, Yael; … - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 59 (2013) 7, pp. 1594-1611
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009784145
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Trimmed opinion pools and the crowd's calibration problem
Jose, Victor Richmond R.; Grushka-Cockayne, Yael; … - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 60 (2014) 2, pp. 463-475
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010258783
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Investor flows and the 2008 boom/bust in oil prices
Singleton, Kenneth J. - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 60 (2014) 2, pp. 300-318
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010258816
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Forecasting the equity risk premium : the role of technical indicators
Neely, Christopher J.; Rapach, David E.; Tu, Jun; Zhou, … - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 60 (2014) 7, pp. 1772-1791
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010399441
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Macroeconomic volatilities and long-run risks of asset prices
Zhou, Guofu; Zhu, Yingzi - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 61 (2015) 2, pp. 413-430
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490848