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a potent mitigation mechanism during an epidemic or when the economy is re-opened after a temporary lockdown. We … model the “Swedish solution” of letting the epidemic play out without government intervention and allowing agents to shift …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835756
We quantify the macroeconomic effects of COVID-19 for emerging markets using a SIR-multisector-small open economy model and calibrating it to Turkey. Domestic infection rates feed into both sectoral supply and sectoral demand shocks. Sectoral demand shocks also incorporate lower external demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833730
Can bad news about COVID-19 induce negative expectations on sovereign credit risks? We investigate the factors driving credit default swap (CDS) spreads of emerging market sovereigns around the outbreak of COVID-19. Using 2014-2019 data, we estimate a two-factor model of global and regional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236709
This paper deals with COVID and macroprudential regulations in emerging markets. I document the build-up of a sturdy macroprudential structure during 2009-2019, and the relaxation of regulations in 2020-2021, as part of the effort to deal with the sanitary emergency. I show that in every...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322217
misinforming audiences. We study the extent to which misinformation broadcast on mass media at the early stages of the coronavirus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830479
The Covid-19 Pandemic has led to changes in consumer expenditure patterns that can introduce significant bias in the measurement of inflation. I use data collected from credit and debit transactions in the US to update the official basket weights and estimate the impact on the Consumer Price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831285
Rankings have become increasingly popular on various markets, e.g. the market for study programs. We analyze their welfare implications. Consumers have to choose between two goods of unknown quality with exogenous presence or absence of an unbiased informative ranking. The existence of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024517
Temporary price reductions (sales) are common for many goods and naturally result in large increase in the quantity sold. We explore whether the data support the hypothesis that these increases are, at least partly, due to dynamic consumer behavior: at low prices consumers stockpile for future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237922
Popular wisdom holds that publishers revise college textbooks mainly to kill off the secondary market for used books. While this behavior might be profitable if consumers are myopic, uninformed or have high short-run discount rates (that exceed the publishers'), neoclassical authors have noted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212612
This paper develops and tests a new set of stochastic implications of optimal consumption behavior in the presence of borrowing constraints. In a departure from previous models, the theory shows that liquidity constraints imply a distinctive intertemporal relationship between durable and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243432