A forecasting comparison is undertaken in which 49 univariate forecasting methods, plus various forecast pooling … procedures, are used to forecast 215 U.S. monthly macroeconomic time series at three forecasting horizons over the period 1959 … - 1996. All forecasts simulate real time implementation, that is, they are fully recursive. The forecasting methods are based …

-loan collateral values may have affected both the demand and the supply of mortgages. Standard time series models using repeat … the loan level substantiates both supply and demand effects of past price trends in housing markets, particularly with …

Discrete choice demand models are widely used for counterfactual policy simulations, yet their out … choice models of school demand. In 2013, Boston Public Schools considered several new choice plans that differ in where …, suggesting that the choice models are indeed “structural.” Our findings show that structural demand models can effectively …

discrete choice models of demand compared to simpler alternatives. In 2013, Boston Public Schools (BPS) proposed alternative …. Pathak and Shi (2013) estimated discrete choice models of demand using families' historical choices and these demand models … of discrete choice models of demand in our context …

Can measured risk attitudes and associated structural models predict insurance demand? In an experiment (n = 1,730), we …

majority of models subsequently used for forecasting exercises do not allow for model uncertainty. Using data on the universe … release date via emotional valence to understand whether these opinions affect box office opening and retail movie unit (DVD … retail movie unit sales …