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Old Europe ages : Reforms and Reform Backlashes
Boersch-Supan, Axel H. - 2010
This paper focuses on three large Continental European countries: France, Germany, and Italy. These countries have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462881
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The Impact of Young Workers on the Aggregate Labor Market
Shimer, Robert - 1999
This paper estimates the response of the unemployment rate and labor force participation rate to exogenous variation in the youth share of the working age population, using cross-state variation in lagged birth rates as an instrumental variable. A one percent increase in the youth share reduces...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471478
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Population Growth, Labor Supply, and Employment in Developing Countries
Bloom, David E. - 1986
The economies of the less developed countries are about to face perhaps the greatest challenge in their histories: generating a sufficient number of jobs at reasonable wages to absorb their rapidly growing populations into productive employment. In terms of absolute magnitude, this challenge has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477239
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The Impact of Health and Education on Labor Force Participation in Aging Societies – Projections for the United States and Germany from a Dynamic Microsimulation
Böheim, René; Horvath, Thomas; Leoni, Thomas; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021
2060 and contrast these projections with projections for Germany to assess differential effects on outcomes The projections …Both the US and Germany are expected to undergo demographic aging, but their demographic fundamentals differ starkly … 2020 and 2060, while Germany will experience a decline by 10.7 percent (4.4 million workers). In these baseline projections …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794562
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Does Age Structure Forecast Economic Growth?
Bloom, David E. - 2007
. We find that including age structure improves the forecast, although there is evidence of parameter instability between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465433
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Demographic Transitions and Economic Miracles in Emerging Asia
Bloom, David E. - 1997
The demographic transition a change from high to low rates of mortality and fertility has been more dramatic in East Asia during this century than in any other region or historical period. By introducing demographic variables into an empirical model of economic growth, this essay shows that this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472544
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The Power of Inclusive Labor Force Participation for Mitigating Population Aging : Closing Gaps at the Intersection Between Race/Ethnicity and Gender in the United States
Böheim, René; Horvath, Thomas; Leoni, Thomas; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
We develop a dynamic microsimulation model to project the labor force and economic dependency ratios in the United States from 2022 to 2060, taking population projections and the large inequalities between population groups of different race/ethnicity and gender into account. We contrast policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576619
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Models for the Analysis of Labor Force Dynamics
Flinn, Christopher J. - 1982
This paper presents new econometric methods for the empirical analysis of individual labor market histories. The techniques developed here extend previous work on continuous time models in four ways: (1) A structural economic interpretation of these models is presented. (2) Time varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478254
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The Effect of Interventions to Reduce Fertility on Economic Growth
Ashraf, Quamrul H. - 2011
We assess quantitatively the effect of exogenous reductions in fertility on output per capita. Our simulation model allows for effects that run through schooling, the size and age structure of the population, capital accumulation, parental time input into child-rearing, and crowding of fixed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461281
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Implications of Population Aging for Economic Growth
Bloom, David E. - 2011
The share of the population aged 60 and over is projected to increase in nearly every country in the world during 2005-2050. Population ageing will tend to lower both labor-force participation and savings rates, thereby raising concerns about a future slowing of economic growth. Our calculations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461952