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We establish that creditor beliefs regarding future borrowing can be self-fulfilling, leading to multiple equilibria with markedly different debt accumulation patterns. We characterize such indeterminacy in the Eaton-Gersovitz sovereign debt model augmented with long maturity bonds. Two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453037
We propose a model where forecasters have access to noisy signals about the future (forward information). In this setting, information varies not only across agents but also across horizons. As a result, estimated persistence of forecasts deviates from persistence of fundamentals and the ability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012814486
Both asymmetric information (AI) and divergent expectations (DE) theories offer possible explanations of the litigation puzzle. Under DE, cases proceed to trial when, by chance, the plaintiff is more optimistic than the defendant. As the fraction of cases tried (T) declines, this leads to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472399
arbitration. We document how the selection process impacts arbitration outcomes by studying roughly 9,000 consumer arbitration … cases in the securities industry. Securities disputes present a good laboratory: arbitration is mandatory for all disputes … only if chosen; and the selection mechanism is similar to other major arbitration forums. We document three facts. First …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480802
duration-dependence in both perceived and actual job finding. Using longitudinal data from two comprehensive surveys, we … beliefs and ex-post realizations, to disentangle heterogeneity and duration-dependence in true job finding rates while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480945
about the extent to which conventional arbitration decisions are fashioned as mechanical compromises of the parties' final … in the arbitration decisions, this evidence of mechanical compromise behavior should be viewed as characterizing the … overall operation of conventional arbitration mechanisms and not the behavior of individual arbitrators in any particular case …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477235
We study learning via shared news. Each period agents receive the same quantity and quality of first-hand information and can share it with friends. Some friends (possibly few) share selectively, generating heterogeneous news diets across agents akin to echo chambers. Agents are aware of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482681
Can incorporating expectations-based-reference-dependence (EBRD) considerations reduce seemingly dominated choices in the Deferred Acceptance (DA) mechanism? We run two experiments (total N = 500) where participants are randomly assigned into one of four DA variants--{static, dynamic} * {student...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013462684
Congress may soon restrict joint and several liability for cleanup of contaminated sites under Superfund. We explore whether this change would discourage settlements and is therefore likely to increase the program's already high litigation costs. Recent theoretical research by Kornhauser and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471702
This note reexamines the theory of optimal public enforcement when litigation costs are incurred if the defendant is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476955