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We review theoretical and empirical work on the economic effects of the United States and China trade relations during … the last decades. We first discuss the origins of the China shock, its measurement, and present methods used to study its … economic effects on different outcomes. We then focus on the recent U.S.-China trade war. We discuss methods used to evaluate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361989
Economists have long been ambivalent about whether the discipline should focus on the analysis of markets or should be concerned with social interactions more generally. Recently the discipline has sought to broaden its scope while maintaining the rigor of modern economic analysis. Major...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471189
Customs data reveal heterogeneity and granularity of relationships among buyers and sellers. A key insight is how more exports to a destination break down into more firms selling there and more buyers per exporter. We develop a quantitative general equilibrium model of firm-to-firm matching that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012814460
In this essay I discuss potential outcome and graphical approaches to causality, and their relevance for empirical work in economics. I review some of the work on directed acyclic graphs, including the recent "The Book of Why," ([Pearl and Mackenzie, 2018]). I also discuss the potential outcome...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480050
Over the last two decades, there has been a surge of opioid-related overdose deaths resulting in a myriad of state policy responses. Researchers have evaluated the effectiveness of such policies using a wide-range of statistical models, each of which requires multiple design choices that can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481986
Despite robust growth in real per capita GDP over the last three decades, the U.S. poverty rate has changed very little. In an effort to better understand this disconnect, we document and quantify the relationship between poverty and four different factors that may affect poverty and its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466995
In many cases, aggregate data is used to make inferences about individual level behavior. If there are social interactions in which one person's actions influence his neighbor's incentives or information, then these inferences are inappropriate. The presence of positive social interactions, or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469557
Using a wide array of examples from the literature and from original estimates, this essay examines the pitfalls that make good empirical research in labor economics as much art as science. Appropriateness and cleanliness of data are considered, as are problems of extreme observations and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471880
This paper presents empirical evidence that the intensity of research workers' incentives for the distinct tasks of basic and applied research are positively associated with each other. We relate this finding to the prediction of the theoretical literature that when effort is multi-dimensional,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471929
Significance tests are probably the most common form of inference in empirical economics, and significance is often interpreted as providing greater informational content than non-significance. In this article we show, however, that rejection of a point null often carries very little...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453311