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markets, fixed exchange rates, and monetary autonomy; rather, it is constrained to choosing no more than two of these three …, afford a full measure of monetary policy autonomy. Our results confirm that extensive capital controls or floating exchange … rates enable a country to have monetary autonomy, as suggested by the trilemma. Partial capital controls, however, do not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459201
This paper uses the Euler equation and novel data from Berea College students on their consumption expenditures during and after college, desired borrowing amounts, beliefs about post-college earnings, and elicited risk-aversion and time preference parameters to determine their consumption value...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480280
Within many large states there are multiple 2-year and 4-year public institutions. Our paper develops a methodology that can be used to help evaluate how well each 2-year public institution in a state is doing in preparing those of its students who transfer to 4-year public institutions to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469923
The paper studies forecasts of real growth rates and budget balances made by official government agencies among 33 countries. In general, the forecasts are found: (i) to have a positive average bias, (ii) to be more biased in booms, (iii) to be even more biased at the 3-year horizon than at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461418
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001681825
We identify which types of Social Security reforms are supported when people vote in their financial self-interest, under alternative economic and demographic projections and voting proclivity assumptions. While 40% of voters have negative lifetime net transfers, less than 10% have negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479934
We estimate the effects of one of the largest anti-vote-buying campaigns ever studied -- with half a million voters exposed across 1427 villages--in Uganda's 2016 elections. Working with civil society organizations, we designed the study to estimate how voters and candidates responded to their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480238
We study the characteristics of self-selected candidates in corrupt political systems. Potential candidates differ along two dimensions of unobservable character: public spirit (altruism toward others) and honesty (the disutility suffered when selling out to special interests after securing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462127
In this paper, we propose a tractable variant of the open economy neoclassical growth model that emphasizes political economy and contracting frictions. The political economy frictions involve disagreement and political turnover, while the contracting friction is a lack of commitment regarding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463455
This paper presents a new model of political competition where candidates belong to factions. Before elections, factions compete to direct local public goods to their local constituencies. The model of factional competition delivers a rich set of implications relating the internal organization...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465647