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housing boom accelerated, fueled by rapid growth in mortgage lending. There is deep disagreement about how, or even if …-prone, which made the mortgage market fragile. Consistent with our theory, the re-emergence of privately-securitized mortgages has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479600
We show that firms' nominal required returns to capital (i.e., their discount rates) are sticky with respect to expected inflation. Such nominally sticky discount rates imply that increases in expected inflation directly lower firms' real discount rates and thereby raise real investment. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512092
To understand a price boom, it is helpful to take account of: (1) observable indicators of changes in ex ante risk tolerance, (2) what information exists and when, and (3) the incentives lenders face. This paper takes such an approach to the Florida land boom of the mid-1920s, the U.S.' first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226111
asymptotically normal. Applying my estimator to the subprime mortgage crisis, I quantify what caused the foreclosure rate to triple … standards, with a 10% decline in home prices increasing subprime mortgage default rates by 50% …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447321
We study the transmission of monetary policy through bank securities portfolios using granular supervisory data on U.S. bank securities, hedging positions, and corporate credit. Banks that experienced larger losses on their securities during the 2022-2023 monetary tightening cycle extended less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544727
Do periods of persistently loose monetary policy increase financial fragility and the likelihood of a financial crisis? This is a central question for policymakers, yet the literature does not provide systematic empirical evidence about this link at the aggregate level. In this paper we fill...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226155
mortgage rates move one-for-one with 10-year swap rates, leaving little explanatory power for mortgage concentration, bank …. Expected future short rates and term premia play a significant role in driving both mortgage rates and corporate bond yields …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486229
This article summarizes empirical research on the interaction between monetary policy and asset markets, and reviews our previous theoretical work that captures these interactions. We present a concise model in which monetary policy impacts the aggregate asset price, which in turn influences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468253
This paper uses a structural model to show that foreclosures played a crucial role in exacerbating the recent housing bust and to analyze foreclosure mitigation policy. We consider a dynamic search model in which foreclosures freeze the market for non-foreclosures and reduce price and sales...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480160
house prices and the related fall in home building; (2) a subprime mortgage problem that has triggered a substantial … mortgage refinancing that could cause greater declines in consumer spending. Each of these could by itself be powerful enough …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465177