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reacting to them to ensure that inflation expectations remain anchored. In this paper, we propose a tractable framework to … inflation occurs through re-anchoring of expectations rather than economic slack. We also discuss risks and why policy errors in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372498
A parsimonious model of shifting policy regimes can simultaneously capture expected and actual US inflation during 1969 …. Private sector learning about policymaker type leads to a reputation state variable. We use model inflation forecasting rules … to extract state variables from SPF inflation forecasts. US inflation is tracked by optimal policy without commitment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477255
This paper provides an explanation for the run-up of U.S. inflation in the 1960s and 1970s and the sharp disinflation … by low inflation. However, prolonged episodes of high inflation ending with rapid disinflations can occur when … policymakers underestimate both the natural rate of unemployment and the persistence of inflation in the Phillips curve. I estimate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467538
followed the German hyper-inflation. Significant real dislocations arose after the monetary reform; and these can be attributed … to a government policy which subsidized heavy industry through the inflation tax proceeds. The "credibility problem …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478387
. Among other things, we show that the optimal policy implicitly incorporates inflation targeting. We also characterize the … gains from making a credible commitment to fight inflation. In contrast to conventional wisdom, we show that gains from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471647
, expected inflation, and expected output growth. Our identifying assumption is that unexpected changes in interest rates in a 30 …, while the response of expected inflation is small. At the same time, forecasts about output growth also increase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459402
survey-based experiment obtained during a period of government manipulation of inflation statistics in Argentina (2006 …-2015). This period is interesting because of the attention to inflation information and the availability of both official and … extract all its useful content. We also find evidence of an asymmetric reaction to inflation signals, with expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456571
Inflation targeting offers the promise of introducing to monetary policy a logic and consistency that some central …, inflation targeting also serves two further objectives that are of more questionable import, and while seemingly contradictory … vocabulary pertaining solely to inflation, inflation targeting fosters over time the atrophication of concerns for real outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469742
We develop and estimate a general equilibrium model in which monetary policy can deviate from active inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458099
This paper analyzes the long-run determinants of inflation differentials in a monetary union. First, we aim at …some stylized facts relating the regional dispersion in headline inflation rates in the euro area as well as in the …-traded sector as the primary cause of price and inflation differentials, with shocks to productivity in the traded sector being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467206