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supply. The average GDP drop would have been - 30:2% in a world without trade in inputs and final goods. This is because …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481807
We document how supply-chain pressures, household inflation expectations, and firm pricing power interacted to induce the pandemic-era surge in consumer price inflation in the euro area. Initially, supply-chain pressures increased inflation through a cost-push channel and raised inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421216
We develop a model of human interaction to analyze the relationship between globalization and pandemics. Our framework …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481143
since 1995. The paper draws on a variety of data sources but most heavily on the recent World Input-Output Database. China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459705
-income countries. We conduct a large phone survey and leverage India's geographically-varying containment policies to estimate the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616569
Childhood vaccinations are an important input to disease prevention, but vaccination rates have declined over the last decade due largely to parental fears about vaccine dangers. Education campaigns on the safety of vaccines seem to have little impact. Anecdotal evidence on disease outbreaks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456213
In lower-income countries, the economic contractions that accompany lockdowns to contain the spread of COVID-19 can increase child mortality, counteracting the mortality reductions achieved by the lockdown. To formalize and quantify this effect, we build a macro-susceptible-infected-recovered...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585409
This paper deals with COVID and macroprudential regulations in emerging markets. I document the build-up of a sturdy macroprudential structure during 2009-2019, and the relaxation of regulations in 2020-2021, as part of the effort to deal with the sanitary emergency. I show that in every...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660118
In recent US recessions, employment losses have been much larger for men than for women. Yet, in the current recession caused by the Covid-19 pandemic, the opposite is true: unemployment is higher among women. In this paper, we analyze the causes and consequences of this phenomenon. We argue...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481208
zero or below everywhere in the world. Third: the cross section standard deviation of growth rates of daily deaths across … locations fell very rapidly in the first 10 days of the epidemic and has remained at a relatively low level since then. Fourth … levels and the effective reproduction number has hovered around one after the first 30 days of the epidemic virtually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481267