Showing 1 - 10 of 156
resilient to external shocks. Enhancing the credibility of the inflation target would provide the monetary authorities with more …. Améliorer la crédibilité de l’objectif d’inflation donnerait aux autorités monétaires plus de latitude pour réagir aux chocs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854030
more weight on alternative indicators of inflation pressure such as wage settlements, trends in unit labour costs and a … wide range of indicators of inflation expectations. The recent fall in margins observed in some countries may, for instance … States, the large unemployment gap could also keep wage inflation under pressure despite a flattening Phillips curve. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276902
This paper assesses the OECD’s projections for GDP growth and inflation during the global financial crisis and recovery … the slowdown and later the weak pace of the recovery – errors made by many other forecasters. At the same time, inflation …<BR>Ce document évalue les projections de l'OCDE relatives à la croissance du PIB et à l'inflation durant la crise financière mondiale …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011277004
Recent episodes of large exchange rate movements, such as for Japan or the United Kingdom, have typically not been associated with large changes in trade balances and despite the polarisation of international investment positions large currency fluctuations during the global crisis of 2008-09...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276917
This paper presents a stylised model in which either a savings glut or an exchange rate peg in emerging economies drives down the level of interest rates in advanced economies and, when it hits the zero-rate bound, produces a welfare loss. It shows that structural reform in the pursuit of better...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643063
During the first two years of monetary union, the euro's weakness surprised most market participants. Explanations proliferated ranging from fundamentals such as differences in growth prospects to psychological factors such as herd behaviour, but no single story fully accounts for the observed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005045928
, the central bank shifted from implicit to explicit inflation targeting in 2006 and set a medium-term inflation target of 4 …%, applicable from end 2007. However this objective faced with two important challenges. On the one hand, inflation inertia settled … in and non-tradable inflation stagnated at more than 10%, further fuelled by persistent surge in global commodity and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046055
This paper studies drivers of high-frequency (daily) dynamics of the South African rand vis-à-vis the dollar from January 2001 to July 2007. We find strong nonlinear effects of commodity prices, perceived country and emerging market risk premium and changes in the dollar-euro exchange rate on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046067
This paper attempts to assess the impact of exchange rate movements on Russian import and nonfuel export performance, using an error correction model. The estimation of trade equations shows that long-run price elasticities for imports and non-fuel exports are close to 0.6 and 0.7 respectively,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046100
One year ago most economic observers predicted that "fundamentals" were such that the euro was set to appreciate. In the event, the opposite has occurred. This has rekindled a debate on how well foreign exchange markets reflect fundamental determinants and led to calls for greater exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046230