Showing 1 - 7 of 7
The paper reports a study of the impact on user satisfaction and forecast accuracy of user involvement in the design of a forecasting decision support system (FDSS). Two versions of an FDSS were tested via a laboratory study. Version 1, allowed the user control over all aspects of the system...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005206010
Restrictiveness and guidance have been proposed as methods for improving the performance of users of support systems. In many companies computerized support systems are used in demand forecasting enabling interventions based on management judgment to be applied to statistical forecasts. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008869784
This paper explores, by means of a laboratory study, the ability of a financial DSS of known theoretical merit to improve decision-making for currency and interest rate forecasting where typically the task is to forecast direction of movement and to assess confidence. The study finds that while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005452735
Forecasting plays a special role in supply chain management with sales forecasts representing one of the key drivers for collaborative planning and decision making in the organisations involved. We review the important role played by judgemental forecasts in this area, focusing on group...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011051817
Intermittent demand is characterized by occasional demand arrivals interspersed by time intervals during which no demand occurs. These demand patterns pose considerable difficulties in terms of forecasting and stock control due to their compound nature, which implies variability both in terms of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010870969
The complementary strengths that management judgment and statistical methods can bring to the forecasting process have been widely discussed. This paper reviews research on the effectiveness of methods that are designed to allow judgment and statistical methods to be integrated when short-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005358570
The major purpose of studies of forecasting accuracy is to help forecasters select the 'best' forecasting method. This paper examines accuracy studies in particular that of Makridakis et al. [20] with a view to establishing how they contribute to model choice. It is concluded that they affect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005206136