During the 1990s Francis Fukuyama announced the end of history. The 2000s showed how it is an illusion to imagine a peaceful world without conflict. In this book, the authors explore how six major constraints are set to fix the trajectory of the global economy. Three of them are new: the aging...

Dieser Band stellt praxisorientiert die Monte-Carlo-Simulation (Risikosimulation) vor, die es ermöglicht, den Gesamtrisikoumfang eines Unternehmens oder Projektes zu berechnen (Risikoaggregation) und mögliche „bestandsgefährdende Entwicklungen“ aus Kombinationseffekten von Einzelrisiken...

Managing Uncertainty, Mitigating Risk proposes that financial risk management broaden its approach, maintaining quantification where possible, but incorporating uncertainty. The author shows that by using broad quantification techniques, and using reason as the guiding principle, practitioners...

Causal analytics methods can revolutionize the use of data to make effective decisions by revealing how different choices affect probabilities of various outcomes. This book presents and illustrates models, algorithms, principles, and software for deriving causal models from data and for using...

Klimawandel als Herausforderung an die Unternehmensführung -- Ursachen und Auswirkungen des Klimawandels unter systemtheoretisch strukturierter Betrachtung -- Theoretische Grundlagen zu den kontextrelevanten Konzepten der Resilience-, Klimawandeladaptions- und betriebswirtschaftlichen Forschung...

Risikoidentifikation und -quantifizierung auf Basis des gegenwärtigen Standes von Theorie und Praxis -- Der Risikobegriff -- Marktrisikoquantifizierung – Eingeführte Ansätze und Verfahren in Theorie und Praxis -- Kreditrisikoquantifizierung – Eingeführte Ansätze und Verfahren in Theorie...

New developments in assessing and managing risk are discussed in this volume. Addressing both practitioners in the banking sector and research institutions, the book provides a manifold view on the most-discussed topics in finance. Among the subjects treated are important issues such as: risk...

'Tony Cox is among the most active and creative architects and users of quantitative risk analysis. This book is full of interesting equations, conceptual designs and conundrums that characterize QRA and its applications to risk management. Informed by trenchant thinking and perceptive writing,...